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Kit Rice
Senior Honors Thesis

Screening Smarter

Comparing machine learning models of varying size and complexity for title-and-abstract screening of public health literature

Illustration of research papers flowing through small, medium, and large model nodes and being sorted into include and exclude trays
From thousands of abstracts to the handful that matter.

Abstract

Systematic reviews are the backbone of evidence-based public health, but screening thousands of titles and abstracts by hand is slow and costly. Machine learning can help, yet the trend toward ever-larger models brings rising compute costs and energy use. This thesis compares machine learning techniques of different sizes and complexities, from a lightweight bag-of-words regression classifier and JEV encoding to four models spanning a range of parameter sizes, to determine which offers the best balance of screening performance, cost, and efficiency.

Research questions

  1. 1How do simple classifiers compare to larger models at identifying relevant public health papers?
  2. 2Does increasing model size meaningfully improve screening performance?
  3. 3Which approach gives the best trade-off between accuracy, cost, and energy use?

Approach

  • Baselines

    A bag-of-words regression classifier and JEV encoding serve as simple, transparent, low-cost approaches.

  • Scaling up

    Four models of increasing parameter size test whether added complexity pays off for screening.

  • Evaluation

    Models are compared on screening performance alongside practical costs like compute time and energy.

At a glance

  • 6

    Approaches compared, from bag-of-words to large models

  • 4

    Model parameter sizes tested head-to-head

  • 1

    Goal: the most effective model that is also the most sustainable